Fewer, Better Animals · Center for Policy ResearchCOP17 project details
Foreword1 · PUA2 · Lamb Fattening3 · Disease-Free Zones4 · Single-Point5 · Green Loans
COMPONENT 2

Lamb Fattening & Sales Model

Fewer animals, higher income — selling from the bottom of the herd, not the top

48%
Fewer sheep needed for the same meat output
45.9kg
Live weight at 7–8 months (vs. 37.2kg conventionally)
+₮4.6M
Additional net profit per 500-sheep household, same year

The traditional path to market is slow and wasteful

A lamb is herded for 3–4 years to reach a 45kg slaughter weight, surviving multiple winters, dzud risk, and disease exposure along the way — for a return that barely covers the pasture it consumed. Priced at market forage value, a mature wether eats roughly ₮1.4M worth of grass over its lifetime but sells for ₮150,000–500,000 — a ₮900,000 loss per animal once pasture is counted as a real cost.

Today, 60–70% of Mongolia's sheep flock is exactly this: low-productivity animals kept for years, degrading pasture the whole time, contributing little to household income or meat output. Herders keep them anyway, because the flock is their insurance — and because no alternative lets them realize income faster.

Pasture supplies more than 90% of an animal's feed in Mongolia's herding system. Severe overgrazing has driven a chronic forage shortage, and that shortage — not genetics — is why animals cannot reach slaughter weight younger: growth stalls every winter. This is the same problem Pasture Use Agreements (Component 1) are designed to fix. Lamb Fattening breaks the loop at a different point: instead of limiting herd numbers directly, it decouples the lamb's weight gain from the pasture's actual forage supply.

Change in live weight of sheep, per year, kg
Change in live weight of sheep, per year, kg. Conventional herding cycles a sheep through repeated winter losses and summer regains for 4 years before reaching 45kg — never a clean climb. Lamb fattening reaches the same 45kg in a single, uninterrupted year.

Feed the ewe, not the lamb

A supplementary feeding protocol applied to lambing ewes, during March–April, when pasture quality is at its annual low. The ewe receives 45 days of high-quality concentrate feed (250–300g/day) alongside normal grazing. This roughly doubles her milk yield, which the lamb converts directly into growth. Lambs reach 45.9kg live weight by 7–8 months — old enough to sell the same year, instead of over-wintering for another 2–3 years.

Three approaches tried and rejected first

ApproachFailure mode
Feed lambs directly, earlyFeed cuts off once lamb reaches pasture with mother — can't keep pace with adults
Intensive short-term autumn fatteningSudden high-concentrate diet causes digestive upset in an unconditioned animal
Feed all lambing ewes indiscriminatelyWastes feed on female replacement stock that doesn't need it

The ewe-feeding model avoids all three: growth is continuous, digestion is never shocked, and feed is targeted only at animals headed to market.

Select quality breeding rams — evaluated for body condition, growth performance, and lineage
Classify breeding ewes — sorted into core / breeding / general herds, matched to appropriate rams
Organize breeding season — timed regionally so lambing lands in mid-to-late March
Feed the ewe, not the lamb — 45 days of concentrate feed from first lambing, newborn lambs kept near camp
Transition to open pasture — 90 days, ewe and lamb graze together as pasture greens up
Wean and finish — male lambs (min. 35kg) separated, moved to fresh pasture to finish to market weight

Growth: fed vs. conventional (same lamb, tracked monthly)

AgeConventionalWith ewe-feeding
Birth3.5kg3.5kg
3 months12.7kg14.5kg
6 months28.7kg32.2kg
7 months34.9kg39.0kg
8 months37.2kg45.9kg (+23%)

Household economics (500-sheep household, one season)

CurrentEwe-feeding
Meat produced2.63t5.0t
Meat revenue₮17.9M₮34.0M
Feed cost₮11.5M
Net profit₮12.6M₮17.2M

National herd-turnover model (per 100 sheep)

ScenarioEwe shareMeat kgIncome growth
A — current45%526
B45%709+34.7%
C60%884+68.0%
D — full model70%1,001+90.3%

A = current conditions: herd grows 10%/year, no lamb sales. B–D hold herd size constant and sell lambs at increasing rates. Meat priced at 2019–2021 national average herder sale price of ₮6,800/kg.

At full adoption, pasture required per 100kg of meat falls from 55ha to 29ha — a 47% reduction — while income per 100 sheep nearly doubles.
31.1 million sheep today ≈ 16.2 million sheep under this model — same meat output, less than half the pasture pressure. Applied nationally, this alone could cut Mongolia's total livestock count from 115.3M to 100.4M head — a 13.4% reduction — without herders losing income.
Herders — realize income in 8 months instead of 2–3 years; net profit rises even after feed cost; lower mortality risk
Pasture / land system — 47% less grazing pressure per unit of meat produced; reinforces Component 1
Consumers / export markets — a demonstrably healthier, antibiotic-free product meeting central-region market standards
National policy — a standardized, replicable protocol ready for extension beyond the pilot regions
  1. Time breeding regionally so lambing lands in early-to-mid March
  2. Use only quality-graded rams; cap at 35–40 ewes per ram
  3. Feed ewes only — 250–300g/day concentrate, 45 days, on-pasture
  4. Separate and finish male lambs on fresh pasture from July 20
  5. Sell male lambs the same year at 40–50kg live weight
  6. Shift herd composition toward 60–70% breeding ewes over time